Tropical Storm Gaston developed today. However, unless you’re shipping something across the Atlantic, that’s all you need to know. It is forecast to recurve and remain at sea.
The focus is still on Invest 99L. Now the ECMWF model is bullish on possible US landfall in The Gulf of Mexico around the Florida panhandle next Tuesday. The GFS model, not so much. Still too far out for any reasonable certainty.
As stated in a previous post, the forecasts can significantly change for systems that are forecast many days in advance. The 06 UTC GFS model run is not so bullish on Invest 99. The GFS now shows the storm making a hard right out to sea as it moves near The Bahamas.
Focus is also on Invest 90 which is ow developing off the west coast of Africa. The models, as of this writing, indicate that it will not be a threat to the US.
The latest 12 UTC GFS model run is featuring two systems that may affect US interests by next week. What does persist is the system that is tracking into The Gulf of Mexico. The other system, more intense as depicted by the model, recurves before impacting the east coast. Both systems should be watched closely in the coming days.
The following image looks innocuous, but it has the potential to develop into a major Atlantic tropical system within the next week or so.
The models, as of this afternoon, have the storm tracking near Florida and/or into The Gulf of Mexico. However, this is still many days away and the forecast can change.
The GFS model is especially bullish, as seen in the video below.
The village that is now called Stormstown was located on one of the area’s earliest roads. Laid out in 1791-92, the road served as a main route for the shipment of Centre County iron west to Pittsburgh. First settler Abraham Elder’s tavern, on the east end of the village, was a stopping place for iron haulers. In 1812 David Storm recorded a plat of 30 lots, plus a school lot, that he named Walkerville, on the west side of present-day Municipal Lane in the middle of Stormstown. The origin of the Walker connection has not yet been tracked down. Some twenty years after Walkerville was established, Caleb Way slowly started selling off lots between Walkerville and the former site of Elder’ tavern, in an area that was briefly called Wayville. Eventually, by the time of the Civil War, the whole area was called Stormstown. The enterprises of the village included a gristmill, sawmill, distillery, tannery, wagon maker, and several craftsmen’s shops – blacksmith, weaver, potter, and chairmaker.
On April 7, 1867, an Easter fire destroyed twenty-six buildings, many of which were never rebuilt. The fire started in George Matters house and in less than three hours, the entire portion of the town lying between the Port Matilda Road and Capt. Hunter’s residence, 2/3 of Stormstown was destroyed by fire. In addition to these losses, all the stables and outhouses on the south side of the street and east of the road to Pine Grove Mills were destroyed.
Rule 1 – Do not make the thoroughly discredited claim that 97% of scientists agree that humans are warming the globe significantly.
Rule 2 – Do not employ the use of an ad hominem, dismiss an argument solely based on its source or funding, or employ any other logical fallacies.
Rule 3 – Stay on topic. No strawman arguments.
Rule 4 – Answer questions.
Rule 5 – When you are wrong, admit it and apologize.
Rule 6 – There is no Rule 6
Found out today that my 5th great grandfather, on my mother’s side, was an officer in The Continental Army:
Very apropos today.
His obituary:
In Greenfield (New Hampshire) on (July 13, 1815) inst. Col. WILLIAM
SCOTT, Esq. in the 71st year of his age. In his death the companion of his bosom lost an enduring partner, his children an affectionate parent, his neighbors a kind friend, the needy a benevolent benefactor, and the inhabitants of the U.S. a worthy and venerable patriot.
Col. Scott emigrated to America about 11 years previous to the revolutionary war, in which he took an early, and an active part, for his country’s rights. He was in the battles of Bunker-Hill, Trenton, Monmouth, White Plains and Saratoga, and in almost every battle of note during the war.
Stormstown Dispatch 